Comments on: Market Cycle Investing

By: to dennis

to dennis — Sun, 27 Feb 2011 04:48:50 +0000

so dennis, is it a good time to buy now?

By: Dennis ng

Dennis ng — Sun, 27 Feb 2011 03:39:24 +0000

guess by now people realised that if they had heed my advice in the article “Make Market Cycles Work for you”, published in Mar 2009 and invested into stocks in March 2009, they would probably have easily made 50% to 0ver 100% returns.

It’s impossible to time the market accurately and consistently over the short term, but it is possible to estimate at which stage of the market cycle we are in… identify the major trend direction… and position ourselves accordingly…”

By: no dividends

no dividends — Sun, 05 Jul 2009 10:05:13 +0000

Though they are low cost, index funds do not give out good dividends unlike blue chips. Buying low and selling high is not as hard as “wiseinvestor” made it out to be. You don’t need complex charts and metrics. Those are tools for RMs and fund managers to confuse you. Just read the papers or watch the news to get a sense of the economy. When economy is bad, buy; when good, sell. Admittedly, an average adult would have only 3 or 4 good chances in his life to really exploit this strategy to the max.

By: wiseinvestor

wiseinvestor — Sun, 05 Jul 2009 03:15:49 +0000

For those without excess cash for buying and holding on to blue chips, you can still use index funds for this market cycle investing.

For a diversified holdings of an index fund, you can use equity risk premium to estimate the top and bottom areas.

This is definitely better than just buy and hold if your investing time horizon is more than 10 years.

By: High earners have engineering degrees - Salary.sg Forums

High earners have engineering degrees - Salary.sg Forums — Mon, 22 Jun 2009 01:51:17 +0000

[...] Originally Posted by bjhchong Grand Master Tan, You Good lah, you… I’ll burn backside trading shares… Trading shares is not for the faint hearted. I believe many of us got burnt before. But I now believe in "trading" in a bigger cycle – buy at (or near) market lows and sell when you feel there’s heat all around. Check out the "Market Cycle Investing" article: Market Cycle Investing | Salary.sg – Your Salary in Singapore [...]

By: blue chips

blue chips — Sun, 31 May 2009 11:34:46 +0000

Yes, I bought several blue chips when STI was around 1500. My ROI is now over 50%, but I won’t sell until the next market craze. I have been a trader once, but I think long term investing is far superior to short term trading provided you have some cash to start with (hint: get a job).

By: wiseinvestor

wiseinvestor — Sun, 31 May 2009 09:19:34 +0000

I agree with what the author says, combined with an important point which some readers mentioned – choose the right and good companies to own.

As the investment time horizon is at least 3 years or more.

By: kay

kay — Sat, 04 Apr 2009 16:07:51 +0000

In my opinion, the market is bottoming. Of course, no one can be sure of when is the exact bottom, but if you can buy near the bottom, you can expect significant gains when the market recovers. I just wrote a post regarding the market nearing a bottom on my site.

http://www.moneytalk.sg/2009/04/nearing-market-bottom.html

By: adiemuso

adiemuso — Wed, 01 Apr 2009 01:29:10 +0000

FX in the recent period have been breaking from the “conventional” correlation with equities markets.

its important to be clear what you want from your money. do you want to invest, trade or speculate. many times people get confused over what they want. typical example of averaging down and resorting to buy n hold. suddenly a short term position becomes a long term view and small manageable losses morph into monstrous holes!

if things are that easy, there is no need/reason to pay premiums for the services/skills of bankers/fund managers. if statistics are good indicator, how many people in the world are capable of making their living solely thru investment, trading or speculation?

timing is a critical issue. it was easy to make money during bull runs. but it was also equally easy to lose it all when the downturn comes.

therefore, if one is clear in his/her target. losses can be limited. and that is the key between losing n winning.

By: AT

AT — Tue, 31 Mar 2009 14:52:04 +0000

Use forex as a hedge against falling stock prices

72% in the money for month of March
http://practicalfxtrading.blogspot.com/2009/03/72-success-rate-in-month-of-march.html